Irrational Analysis

Irrational Analysis

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Citrini 3/12/2026 Optics Basket Comments
Mostly correct.
Mar 12 • Irrational Analysis
[Marvell 3/5/2026 Earnings] Hilarious Short Squeeze
Matt Murphy Redemption Arc?
Mar 6 • Irrational Analysis
March [Morgan Stanley TMT] Madness
Summary of conversations with many contacts.
Mar 5 • Irrational Analysis
AAOI Probably Worth Chasing
Technical extrapolation of earnings call transcript.
Mar 1 • Irrational Analysis

February 2026

[unfinished draft] It's the dataflow, stupid.
Groq is bigger than Mellanox.
Feb 27 • Irrational Analysis
ISSCC 2026 Irrational Recap
Incredible Nvidia and Celestial/Marvell Presentations
Feb 19 • Irrational Analysis
[Market Memo] Tower+GloFo Earnings, HBM4 Qualification Noise
Maybe none of the DRAM players know how to use high-speed probe setups.
Feb 12 • Irrational Analysis
[2/26 Earnings Roundup] $LITE $COHR $SITM $QCOM $ARM
C H A O S
Feb 6 • Irrational Analysis

January 2026

[Market Memo] January is finally over.
Crazy volatility.
Jan 31 • Irrational Analysis
Practical Datacom Lasers
Lumentum shorts shall be burnt to a crisp.
Jan 24 • Irrational Analysis
Intel's Agentic Dumpster-Fire
A truly shit earnings print and conference call.
Jan 23 • Irrational Analysis
Memory Madness
Crazy start to 2026.
Jan 16 • Irrational Analysis
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